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│ Leaked dossier documents Sudan army │

│ chemical weapons use │

│ feature - The New York Times - │

│ independent/independent [SDN] │

│ │

│ A NYT/WaPo joint investigation published │

│ Sept 5 documented SAF development and │

│ deployment of chlorine-gas bombs with │

│ intercepted communications implicating Gen. │

│ Burhan, building on US sanctions under the │

│ Chemical and Biological Weapons Control │

│ Act. │

│ │

│ https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/05/world/af │

│ rica/sudan-chlorine-gas.html │

└─────────────────────────────────────────────┘

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│ The Sudanese civil war threatens to │

│ regionalize │

│ feature - Critical Threats (ISW) - │

│ unknown/unknown [SDN,TCD,ETH] │

│ │

│ Sudan's armed forces conducted their first │

│ drone strikes on an RSF convoy inside │

│ Chadian territory near Mourdi, prompting │

│ Chad to raise its alert status and move │

│ roughly 100 armoured vehicles to Tine. │

│ Ethiopian arms flights to the RSF rose from │

│ 2 in September 2025 to 44 in August 2026, │

│ and the RSF opened a renewed Blue Nile │

│ offensive taking Sirkum and Bakori. A │

│ belligerent now in confrontation with two │

│ land neighbours. │

│ │

│ https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/ni │

│ ger-coup-russia-algeria-sudan-rsf-chad-ethi │

│ opia-drc-m23-fardc │

└─────────────────────────────────────────────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────┐ ┌─────────────────────────────────────────────┐

│ Sudan authorities lift Khartoum curfew │ │ Chad accuses Sudan of deadly air strike │

│ after two years │ │ near shared border │

│ large - The New Arab - unknown/unknown │ │ large - Al Jazeera - tilt/tilt [TCD,SDN] │

│ [SDN] │ │ │

│ │ │ Chad accused Sudan of an air strike on a │

│ Sudan lifted the two-year Khartoum curfew │ │ fuel market near their shared border that │

│ and state of emergency on Aug 28. Recorded │ │ killed 12 on Aug 28. The allegation │

│ as a concrete dated liberalization but NOT │ │ originates with the Chadian government, an │

│ booked as an improvement: the same │ │ interested party in an active border │

│ reporting flags active drone threats and │ │ dispute, and no independent verification of │

│ unexploded ordnance, and a curfew lift in │ │ authorship was found, so it is used as │

│ one city does not move a national │ │ direction only and Chad's conflict score is │

│ civil-liberties floor set against a │ │ held. │

│ genocide finding elsewhere in the country. │ │ │

│ │ │ https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/28/ch │

│ https://www.newarab.com/news/sudan-authorit │ │ ad-accuses-sudan-of-deadly-air-strike-near- │

│ ies-lift-khartoum-curfew-after-two-years │ │ shared-border │

└─────────────────────────────────────────────┘ └─────────────────────────────────────────────┘

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│ Heavy fighting southwest of El Obeid as │

│ army repels RSF attacks │

│ large - Sudan Tribune - │

│ unknown/partially-entangled [SDN] │

│ │

│ SAF-RSF fighting flared around El Obeid and │

│ Jabrat al-Sheikh from Aug 13-14 with RSF │

│ drones downed Aug 17 (Critical Threats │

│ corroborates); the pre-window RSF-governor │

│ defection signals coalition erosion without │

│ reducing violence. The claimed killing of │

│ commander 'Jebel Moon' is │

│ belligerent-adjacent, unconfirmed, not │

│ booked. Floor held. │

│ │

│ https://sudantribune.com/article/317518 │

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│ Sudan's RSF says it captured key town near │

│ Ethiopian and South Sudan borders │

│ medium - The National - unknown/tilt [SDN] │

│ │

│ SAF's July 26 offensive restored ~350km of │

│ the Khartoum-El Obeid corridor (army claim │

│ partially corroborated by ACLED and UN │

│ humanitarian data), Hemedti called for │

│ renewed mobilization July 31, and by Aug 13 │

│ the RSF claimed Qayssan and Al Kurmuk in │

│ Blue Nile, ~140-160km from the Roseires │

│ Dam; the RSF claims are pure belligerent │

│ self-report with no SAF comment. Fronts are │

│ expanding geographically either way; the │

│ floor holds. │

│ │

│ https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/2 │

│ 026/08/13/sudans-rsf-says-it-captured-key-t │

│ own-near-ethiopian-and-south-sudan-borders/ │

└─────────────────────────────────────────────┘

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│ Food shortages deepen crisis in North │

│ Darfur │

│ large - Darfur24 - unknown/unknown [SDN] │

│ │

│ Food supplies to besieged, │

│ famine-designated El Fasher HALTED after │

│ tighter trade controls blocked millet and │

│ sorghum movement from SLM-controlled areas, │

│ with delayed rains threatening the Darfur │

│ agricultural season; the UN warns of │

│ rapidly deteriorating conditions for │

│ hundreds of thousands. A discrete │

│ humanitarian worsening within │

│ already-floored scores. │

│ │

│ https://darfur24.com/en/2026/07/28/food-sho │

│ rtages-deepen-crisis-in-north-darfur/ │

└─────────────────────────────────────────────┘

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│ Sudanese army recaptures Bara, opening │

│ Kordofan-Khartoum corridor │

│ large - Sudan Tribune - unknown/unknown │

│ [SDN] │

│ │

│ The SAF and allies recaptured Bara, │

│ Al-Baraka and Um Sayala July 25, opening │

│ the 350-km motorway to Khartoum and cutting │

│ RSF routes (SAF claims relayed by │

│ independent exile press; both sides claim │

│ gains; vehicle-destruction counts │

│ excluded); Hemedti told RSF fighters July │

│ 30 that 'Khartoum is our target'. Fronts │

│ shifting inside a war at the floor: Sudan │

│ conflict held at -10. │

│ │

│ https://sudantribune.com/article/316601 │

└─────────────────────────────────────────────┘

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│ Sudan: drone strikes on El Obeid kill │

│ dozens as siege tightens │

│ medium - United Nations - │

│ multilateral/multilateral [SDN] │

│ │

│ UN OCHA documented 15 drone strikes on El │

│ Obeid in three weeks killing 45+ civilians │

│ and hitting markets, schools, hospitals and │

│ water/power infrastructure, leaving 500,000 │

│ residents + 100,000 IDPs without power for │

│ ~a month; CNN confirmed the RSF siege │

│ consolidating July 20. Held Sudan conflict │

│ at the -10 floor. │

│ │

│ https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/07/116787 │

│ 1 │

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│ Sudanese court sentences Hemedti to death │

│ in absentia │

│ medium - France 24 - tilt/tilt [SDN] │

│ │

│ A Port Sudan court (SAF-aligned judiciary, │

│ symbolic) sentenced RSF leader Hemedti and │

│ 15 co-defendants to death in absentia July │

│ 13 over the El Geneina crimes - the first │

│ judicial verdict against him this war, │

│ while the El Obeid siege (~500,000 trapped) │

│ and a 13.7%-fatality cholera outbreak │

│ deepen. Sudan conflict held at the -10 │

│ floor. │

│ │

│ https://www.france24.com/en/sudanese-court- │

│ sentences-hemedti-to-death-in-absentia │

└─────────────────────────────────────────────┘

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│ New cholera outbreak alert for Sudan's │

│ war-weary communities │

│ medium - UN News - │

│ multilateral/multilateral [SDN] │

│ │

│ 1,300+ confirmed cholera cases with 114+ │

│ deaths (13.7% case-fatality) concentrated │

│ in Darfur/Kordofan, with spread feared into │

│ besieged El Obeid where OHCHR documented 15 │

│ drone strikes killing 45+ civilians in │

│ three weeks; the EU Parliament voted 476-28 │

│ for RSF terrorist designation. Corroborates │

│ the Sudan floor. │

│ │

│ https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/07/116791 │

│ 3 │

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│ UN probe finds mass killings, gang rapes by │

│ Sudan's RSF amount to genocide │

│ feature - United Nations - │

│ multilateral/multilateral [SDN] │

│ │

│ A UN investigation concluded July 9 that │

│ RSF mass killings and gang rapes in Sudan │

│ amount to genocide - the most severe │

│ multilateral characterization yet - amid │

│ continued RSF/SAF fighting. Sudan conflict │

│ held at the -10 floor (finding corroborates │

│ the worst-case read). │

│ │

│ https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/9/un- │

│ probe-finds-mass-killings-gang-rapes-by-sud │

│ ans-rsf-amount-to-genocide │

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